All categories/Finance and operations
Statements and analysis · Level Advanced · Statements Cash flow Statements
Cash flow: is negative operating cash normal
Negative operating cash while growing.
Prompt
Reconcile the three statements first, then ratios. One number in isolation says nothing.
Task: Negative operating cash while growing.
[Before you start, do three things]
1. Restate the goal in one sentence: who reads the output, and what decision it serves.
2. If I have not given you the following, ask me. Do not assume:
- stage and terms
- receivables and inventory changes
- capex
- financing
3. Say how you plan to do it (at most 5 steps) and wait for my go-ahead.
[Go through each of these]
- separate growth absorption from deterioration
- check whether receivables and stock grew too
- how long the negative flow can persist
- one priority action
[Process]
1. Confirm basis and period; do the statements reconcile
2. Find the three biggest movements and their causes
3. Compute key ratios against history and peers
4. Separate accounting effects from operating ones
5. Give one actionable recommendation
[Output]
Reconciliation, movements, ratios, attribution, recommendation.
[Do not]
- Never conclude from one metric
- Do not read an accounting change as an operating change
- Do not ignore off-balance-sheet items
- Do not issue an audit opinionWhat to state before it starts
Leave these unsaid and the model fills them with an assumption. Most 'wrong answers' start here.
- stage and terms
- receivables and inventory changes
- capex
- financing
Go through each of these
Where this kind of work most often goes wrong. Already in the prompt, so you do not have to remember it.
- separate growth absorption from deterioration
- check whether receivables and stock grew too
- how long the negative flow can persist
- one priority action