All categories/Finance and operations
Statements and analysis · Level Advanced · Statements Investment Terms
Investment terms: financial risk
An investment with financial covenants.
Prompt
Reconcile the three statements first, then ratios. One number in isolation says nothing.
Task: An investment with financial covenants.
[Before you start, do three things]
1. Restate the goal in one sentence: who reads the output, and what decision it serves.
2. If I have not given you the following, ask me. Do not assume:
- amount and valuation
- performance commitments and compensation
- ratchets and buyback
- covenants
3. Say how you plan to do it (at most 5 steps) and wait for my go-ahead.
[Go through each of these]
- whether the commitment is achievable, and the gap
- buyback triggers and cost
- governance terms that could take control
- funding pressure in the worst case
[Process]
1. Confirm basis and period; do the statements reconcile
2. Find the three biggest movements and their causes
3. Compute key ratios against history and peers
4. Separate accounting effects from operating ones
5. Give one actionable recommendation
[Output]
Reconciliation, movements, ratios, attribution, recommendation.
[Do not]
- Never conclude from one metric
- Do not read an accounting change as an operating change
- Do not ignore off-balance-sheet items
- Do not issue an audit opinionWhat to state before it starts
Leave these unsaid and the model fills them with an assumption. Most 'wrong answers' start here.
- amount and valuation
- performance commitments and compensation
- ratchets and buyback
- covenants
Go through each of these
Where this kind of work most often goes wrong. Already in the prompt, so you do not have to remember it.
- whether the commitment is achievable, and the gap
- buyback triggers and cost
- governance terms that could take control
- funding pressure in the worst case